There are so many opportunities to invest in solar power around the World. But how do you decide where to invest? Which are the most attractive markets, both in terms of solar power fundamentals and the general business environment?
This report, Solar Power Opportunities - Africa, provides a comparative framework for analysing the potential and relative attractiveness of national-level solar markets in Africa and for assessing macro conditions, access to market, national energy policy, growth potential of renewable energy and infrastructure considerations.
The report provides both a regional summary of solar power trends across Africa, SWOT analyses for the top 10 most attractive actual and potential solar markets and detailed, individual country factsheets for South Africa, Senegal and Eritrea, the 3 markets in Africa with current installed solar capacity.
In 2012, total installed solar power capacity across Africa reached 73 megawatts from 3 countries, representing 0.05% of all power capacity
(conventional + renewable
) and 0.25% of total renewable power capacity in Africa. The largest solar market was South Africa with 70 megawatts or 95.89% of total regional solar capacity.
Beyond this current installed capacity, there exist many opportunities for solar power developments across the region. This report assesses those opportunities from both a Solar Market and a Business Environment perspective, providing a comparative framework for analysing the potential and relative attractiveness of national-level solar markets in Africa and for assessing macro conditions, access to market, national energy policy, growth potential of renewable energy and infrastructure considerations.
FEATURES AND BENEFITS
A comprehensive analysis of the state of the solar market in Africa at a regional and national level.
Detailed individual country factsheets for each of South Africa, Senegal and Eritrea.
Analysis of both the state of the regional and national solar market and the general business environment.
Comparisons to other solar markets regionally and worldwide and to other power sectors
(Biomass and Waste, Geothermal, Hydroelectric and Wind
All markets are reviewed independently and relative to other markets across Africa.
Underpinned by a comprehensive model of the World's renewable markets, featuring 19,000 data points across 214 geographic entities.
Out of the 54 countries in Africa, 3 have existing installed solar power capacity, which combined, represent 0.07% of solar power capacity installed worldwide. The top 3 markets based on installed solar capacity are South Africa, Senegal and Eritrea.
Looking beyond pure installed capacity though, the top 10 most attractive solar markets in Africa however are South Africa, Ethiopia, Sierra Leone, Morocco, Sudan, Egypt, Mozambique, Eritrea, Kenya and Zambia, based on market attractiveness indices that range for the 10 countries from 57 - 88 with a median 67
(where 0 is least attractive and 100 is most attractive
Most attractive indices are calculated using a MABA analysis employing over 100 variables reviewing the state of the local power market and macro and micro business operating conditions. Countries are then ranked comparative to all others worldwide.
At the regional level, Africa had a median market attractiveness index of 39 out of 100, compared to the leading region, Europe, with a median index of 83. This ranked Africa in 6th place amongst the 7 World regions
(Africa, Americas, Asia, Eurasia, Europe, Middle East, Oceania
). The range of indices for all countries in Africa was 0 - 88, World indices range from 0 - 100
What are the regional capacity trends and policy developments in solar power across Africa?
Which markets across Africa have the most potential for development of solar power generation facilities?
Which potentially attractive solar markets in Africa also have a positive business environment conducive to investors?
What are the key strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats facing the most attractive solar markets in Africa?
How relevant is solar power in markets with current installed solar capacity, compared to other solar markets worldwide and compared to other power sectors
(e.g. conventional, hydro, wind etc
What is the outlook for solar power over the next 5 years?
What are the key policy drivers affecting both the development of solar and renewable power for each market?
The relative attractiveness of a country's solar market can be viewed from both a market and business perspective.
Market Attractiveness considers the relative merits of the renewable and solar sectors in the top markets in a given market based on power capacity and generation trends and specific solar related variables. Attractive markets may or may not have existing installed solar capacity.
Business Attractiveness considers how safe, easy and practical it is to invest in the power market in a given market by considering generic macro-economic, access to market and operating environment issues.
Each country is rated on over 100 variables and assigned a Market Attractiveness and a Business Attractiveness index, ranked relative to all other countries worldwide.
The analysis employed in these factsheets is based on a comprehensive, regularly updated, quantitative and qualitative model with over 19,000 data points across 214 geographic entities.
The regional and individual country factsheets are packed with detailed analysis, charts and tables incorporating the latest available data on capacity and generation trends at the national level. Data coverage is from 1992 with outlooks through to 2017.
KEY REASONS TO PURCHASE THIS REPORT
Gain a clear understanding of the relative attractiveness of solar markets in Africa from both a Market and Business perspective.
Simplify yet enhance opportunity analysis using a standard framework covering a full range of socioeconomic, trade, legislative, business, renewable, solar and network issues.
Facilitate decision making based on a clear understanding of the trends and predictions shaping this regional solar market.
Understand the importance of these trends relative to other renewable power sectors and relative to regional and global trends.
Obtain detailed historical and forecast market analysis for each of South Africa, Senegal and Eritrea; the 3 countries in the region with existing installed solar capacity.
KEY DATA POINTS
- installed capacity
(total, per capita, per GDP, per sq km
- added capacity
- net generation
- % of total capacity
- % of renewable capacity
- % of non-hydro renewable capacity
- % net generation
- 1 year growth rates %
- 5 year compound annual growth rates %
- capacity : generation ratios
- capacity factors
- policy landscape covering Regulatory Policies and Incentives, Fiscal Incentives and Public Financing
- SWOT analysis
- 31 Market variables in 4 categories : Total Power, Renewables, Solar Market, Network
- 71 Business variables in 12 categories : Security, Social, Technological, Economic, Political, Trade, Barriers to Trade, Legislative, Policy, Incentives, Operations and Financing
Published: November 2013
Publisher: Energici Holdings Inc-RF
1. About Attractiveness
2. Executive Summary
2.1. A snapshot of relative attractiveness : top 10 markets
2.2. A snapshot view of category scores by top 10 market
3. Trends in solar capacity
3.1 Total installed solar capacity across Africa
3.2 Installed solar capacity by country
3.3 Africa's share of World installed solar capacity
3.4 The relevance of solar power to the total power mix in Africa
3.5 The relevance of solar power to the renewable power mix in Africa
3.6 Trends in solar power capacity growth relative to other renewable power sectors
3.7 Outlook for solar capacity
3.8 Solar power dataset, 1992 - 2017
4. Policy Landscape (all markets)
5. SWOT analyses (top 10 markets)
5.1 South Africa
5.3 Sierra Leone
6. Comparison of Attractiveness Indices (all markets)
TABLE OF CONTENTS / COUNTRY FACTSHEET
for each of South Africa, Senegal and Eritrea
1. About Attractiveness
2. Executive Summary
2.1. A snapshot of relative attractiveness : vs top 10 markets worldwide and in region
2.2. A snapshot view of category scores
3. Market Attractiveness
3.1 Total Power - trends in total (conventional + renewable) power and includes capacity, generation and consumption variables.
3.2 Renewable Power - trends in renewable (biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric, solar and wind) power and includes capacity and generation variables.
3.3 Solar Power - trends in solar power and contains solar capacity, generation and sector specific variables.
3.4 Network - variables related to the transmission of generated power to end users.
4. Trends in solar capacity
4.1 Total installed and added solar capacity
4.2 Breakdown of Solar CSP vs Solar PV (if available)
4.3 The relevance of solar power to the total power mix
4.4 The relevance of solar power to the renewable power mix
4.5 Trends in solar power capacity growth relative to other renewable power sectors
4.6 Relative share of World solar capacity
4.7 Relative share of solar capacity in Africa
4.8 Trends in solar power capacity growth relative to other top World and regional markets
4.9 Outlook for solar capacity
4.10 Generation of electricity from solar power
4.11 Solar power dataset, 1992 - 2017
4.12 Distribution losses and electricity trade balance
5. Policy Landscape
6. SWOT analysis
7. Business Attractiveness
7.1 Security - an assessment of the overall level of safety, security, democracy and peacefulness within a country.
7.2 Social - socio-demographic variables covering population trends and distribution as well as the human development index.
7.3 Technological - internet and phone proxies for the level of technological advancement with a country.
7.4 Economic - trends in gross domestic product, household consumption levels, inflation and government subsidies.
7.5 Political - considers the stability, accountability and effectiveness of government.
7.6 Trade - reviews the openness to trade, the scale and costs to trade and logistics factors.
7.7 Barriers To Trade - considers tangible and intangible barriers to conducting trade.
7.8 Legislative - reviews the impartiality and integrity of the legal system.
7.9 Policy - the scope of policy instruments utilized to promote renewable energy.
7.10 Incentives - the scope of incentive instruments utilized to promote renewable energy.
7.11 Operations - the ease of doing business and disclosure / administrative requirements.
7.12 Financing - the availability and costs of obtaining financing.
8. About Attractiveness - category descriptions